Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
14%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
24.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
14%
7.79
X/2
13%
4.34
X/X
8%
4.85
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.56
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 53%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.36/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.36
+35% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
16.2 Crosses 19.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
316 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-1 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
28.10.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-3 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
16.04.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
30.10.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
13.03.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
25.10.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
0-0
AWAY Sporting Braga
1.27 xG 0.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente and Sporting Braga fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 48% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.27 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.33 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga?

Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 35%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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