Uthai Thani 2-3 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.10/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.87
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
15.0 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
262 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 1-2 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
17.08.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
2-3
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.82 xG 0.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 477
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi squeezed past Uthai Thani 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ratchaburi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 41% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 59%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.82 to 0.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Uthai Thani.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uthai Thani and 1.50 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Ratchaburi?

Uthai Thani 2-3 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 28%, draw 27%, Ratchaburi 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ratchaburi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
26 Oct 2025
14:00 Buriram United vs Rayong FC Analysis →
14:30 Sukhothai vs BG Pathum United Analysis →
14:30 Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior Analysis →