Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bangkok United v Lamphun Warrior — Team-Based Signals
Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Lamphun Warrior
TAY
Bangkok United 4-3 Lamphun Warrior — Actual Match Statistics
Bangkok United squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Bangkok United had 60% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.38 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bangkok United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bangkok United and 1.00 for Lamphun Warrior.
What was the final score of Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Bangkok United 4-3 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bangkok United 60%, draw 23%, Lamphun Warrior 17%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — while BTTS No went the other way.