Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
-0.5pp
13%
Draw
14%
-0.9pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.08/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.88
+29% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 75%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
24.0 Crosses 10.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.23
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
516 Passes 149
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
10.11.2024 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
2-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.38 xG 1.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
389 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Rayong FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Buriram United had 64% of the ball to Rayong FC's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buriram United and 1.00 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 77%, draw 13%, Rayong FC 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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