Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.5pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.12/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.81
+39% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
24.4 Crosses 9.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
446 Passes 185
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
2-1
AWAY Rayong FC
1.62 xG 1.47
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
586 Passes 113
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
38 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United squeezed past Rayong FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Buriram United had 77% of the ball to Rayong FC's 23%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.62 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Buriram United 2-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 66%, draw 17%, Rayong FC 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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