Uthai Thani 1-1 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
31%
+12.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -24%
1.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.23
+59% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
14.9 Crosses 17.9
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
0W-0D-1L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
357 Passes 397
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 1-0 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
1-1
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.34 xG 0.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
330 Passes 262
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani and BG Pathum United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Uthai Thani at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 53% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 47%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United?

Uthai Thani 1-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 43%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uthai Thani), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
29 Mar 2025
14:00 Nakhon Ratchasima vs Chiangrai United Analysis →
14:00 Buriram United vs Rayong FC Analysis →
15:00 Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai Analysis →