Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.36/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.64
+22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.6 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.49 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
268 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 5-2 HT 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
19.11.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
1-1
AWAY Sukhothai
0.98 xG 0.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 4
36 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nong Bua Pitchaya and Sukhothai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nong Bua Pitchaya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 56% of the ball to Sukhothai's 44%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sukhothai led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 2.50 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 48%, draw 25%, Sukhothai 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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