Nakhon Ratchasima 1-4 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.19
-2% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
23.4 Crosses 12.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 224
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-2 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
18.03.2023 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
21.10.2022 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
26.01.2022 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 1-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-4
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.86 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
190 Passes 234
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United ran out comfortable winners over Nakhon Ratchasima 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nakhon Ratchasima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 47% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 53%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.86 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nakhon Ratchasima had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 0.50 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Chiangrai United?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-4 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 46%, draw 29%, Chiangrai United 25%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✗ Under 2.5
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