Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Progreso
URU
1-3
HT 0-2
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
0-4
HT 0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Progreso 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 48% of the ball to Progreso's 52%, shots finished 10-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso?
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 54%, draw 24%, Progreso 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.