Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Progreso 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 48% of the ball to Progreso's 52%, shots finished 10-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for Progreso.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3 - 1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 59%, draw 24%, Progreso 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.