Marine 2-2 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
0.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.27
-75% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 Marine Marine FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
2-2
AWAY Spennymoor Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marine vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine and Spennymoor Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marine had 60% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 40%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Marine vs Spennymoor Town?

Marine 2-2 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marine 31%, draw 27%, Spennymoor Town 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Nov 2024
22:45 Chester vs Oxford City Analysis →
22:45 Chippenham Town vs Slough Town Analysis →
22:45 Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →
22:45 Farnborough vs Worthing Analysis →
22:45 Weymouth vs Truro City Analysis →
22:45 Maidstone United vs Eastbourne Borough Analysis →