Enfield Town 1-2 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
17.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.95 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enfield Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Enfield Town Enfield Town 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Enfield Town
1-2
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch squeezed past Enfield Town 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Enfield Town had 54% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 46%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Enfield Town 1-2 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enfield Town vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Enfield Town 34%, draw 31%, AFC Hornchurch 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✓ BTTS Yes
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