Torquay United 4-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.64/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.67
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 3-3 HT 2-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
24.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 3-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
4-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United beat Weston-super-Mare 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torquay United had 50% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 50%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Torquay United and 3.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Torquay United 4-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 33%, draw 28%, Weston-super-Mare 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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