Farnborough 1-0 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

Farnborough
1-0 HT 1-0
Worthing
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Farnborough vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 28% vs market 16.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.8pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farnborough v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +14%
1.53/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.30
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Farnborough vs Worthing Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Worthing
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
21.11.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-3 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
18.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
08.10.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON

Farnborough 1-0 Worthing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-0
AWAY Worthing
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough nicked a narrow win over Worthing 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Farnborough made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Farnborough had 35% of the ball to Worthing's 65%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Farnborough and 1.75 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Worthing?

Farnborough 1-0 Worthing in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 40%, draw 26%, Worthing 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ BTTS No
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