Weymouth 1-4 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.23
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 41% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-12.4pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.09/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.84
-16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Truro City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2024 Truro City Truro City 0-0 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
21.11.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 2-0 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City swept aside Weymouth 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Truro City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weymouth had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weymouth and 0.00 for Truro City.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Truro City?

Weymouth 1-4 Truro City in the England - Conference on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 31%, draw 28%, Truro City 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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