Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.02/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.35
-24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 28.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-4 HT 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
21.04.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
29.01.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
10.09.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-4 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
0-1
AWAY General Caballero JLM
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Ameliano at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 47% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 53%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.83 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM?

Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 45%, draw 27%, General Caballero JLM 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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