Guabira 3-2 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 31%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.85/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.86
+33% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
13.5 Crosses 12.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
3W-0D-3L
AWAY The Strongest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 2.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
207 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2025 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
21.09.2025 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 2-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
04.05.2025 The Strongest The Strongest 5-1 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
20.10.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
24.05.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
08.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 4-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-2
AWAY The Strongest
3.39 xG 1.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
261 Passes 153
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Guabira vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira squeezed past The Strongest 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Guabira had 58% of the ball to The Strongest's 42%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 3.39 to 1.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guabira's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guabira and 2.00 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Guabira vs The Strongest?

Guabira 3-2 The Strongest in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guabira 50%, draw 19%, The Strongest 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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