Southern District RSA 2-4 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
72%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
14%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
72%
Away Win
67%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 71%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
0.47/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/0.68
-48% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kitchee
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-3 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
11.01.2025 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 1-1 HT 1-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
14.09.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.05.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
24.11.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
15.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
2-4
AWAY Kitchee
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee got the better of Southern District RSA 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 42% of the ball to Kitchee's 58%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Southern District RSA and 2.17 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Southern District RSA 2-4 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 10%, draw 18%, Kitchee 72%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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