Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2025

Dagenham & Redbridge
2-3 HT 0-2
AFC Hornchurch
📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 38%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.24/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.36
-6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 AFC Hornchurch — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
2-3
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch nicked a narrow win over Dagenham & Redbridge 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; AFC Hornchurch found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 50% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 50%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 39%, draw 31%, AFC Hornchurch 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5
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