Hereford FC 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.44/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.90
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 5-1 HT 2-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.12.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
01.01.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.12.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
15.02.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 HT 3-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
18.01.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers squeezed past Hereford FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kidderminster Harriers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hereford FC and 2.17 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Hereford FC 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 35%, draw 25%, Kidderminster Harriers 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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