Kidderminster Harriers 5-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 36% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
59%
-19.1pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.3pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.84/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.91
+0% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
01.01.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
26.12.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
15.02.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-0 HT 3-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
18.01.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
02.01.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
5-1
AWAY Hereford FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Kidderminster Harriers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 52% of the ball to Hereford FC's 48%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.67 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Hereford FC?

Kidderminster Harriers 5-1 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 40%, draw 32%, Hereford FC 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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