Maidstone United 1-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.68/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.61
-16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-3 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
01.01.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.12.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
02.01.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.12.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
01.01.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 2-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
1-1
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United and Tonbridge Angels couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maidstone United at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidstone United had 52% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maidstone United and 0.67 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Maidstone United 1-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 67%, draw 19%, Tonbridge Angels 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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