St. Albans City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
17%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
17.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
26.12.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
01.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-3 HT 2-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
26.12.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-2 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
01.01.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.12.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City edged past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Albans City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Albans City had 58% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 42%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Albans City and 1.50 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

St. Albans City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 44%, draw 27%, Hemel Hempstead Town 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5
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