Salisbury 0-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
7%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 32% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.70/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/1.04
-39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
07.01.2020 Salisbury Salisbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
0-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough squeezed past Salisbury 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salisbury had 47% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 53%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Salisbury had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salisbury and 0.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Eastbourne Borough?

Salisbury 0-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 30%, draw 25%, Eastbourne Borough 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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