Scarborough Athletic 1-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.73/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Darlington 1883
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 4-3 HT 2-2 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
30.12.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.12.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
30.09.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic FAK
02.01.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-5 HT 0-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.12.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-3 HT 1-2 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic nicked a narrow win over Darlington 1883 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Scarborough Athletic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 54% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 2.00 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington 1883?

Scarborough Athletic 1-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 40%, draw 29%, Darlington 1883 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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