Darlington 1883 4-3 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.49
+6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
26.12.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
30.09.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-2 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic FAK
02.01.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-5 HT 0-2 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
26.12.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-3 HT 1-2 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
4-3
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 squeezed past Scarborough Athletic 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 54% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 46%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Darlington 1883 and 2.00 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic?

Darlington 1883 4-3 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 45%, draw 25%, Scarborough Athletic 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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