Torquay United 3-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.71/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.67
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Weymouth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 2-2 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
02.03.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
05.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 3-1 HT 2-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
26.03.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
04.12.2021 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
10.04.2021 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-1 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
3-0
AWAY Weymouth
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United cruised past Weymouth 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Torquay United had 60% of the ball to Weymouth's 40%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torquay United and 1.00 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Weymouth?

Torquay United 3-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 53%, draw 23%, Weymouth 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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