Weymouth 2-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.02/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.37
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
202 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Torquay United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
05.12.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 3-1 HT 2-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
26.03.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
04.12.2021 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
10.04.2021 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-1 Weymouth Weymouth İBSL
28.12.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 3-4 HT 1-2 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weymouth
2-2
AWAY Torquay United
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and Torquay United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weymouth had 38% of the ball to Torquay United's 62%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Weymouth and 2.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Torquay United?

Weymouth 2-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 28%, draw 26%, Torquay United 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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