Maidstone United 1-0 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
1.52/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.45
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
14.11.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
01.01.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
26.12.2018 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 3-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
01.01.2018 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
26.12.2017 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 2-2 HT 0-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Dover Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Maidstone United and 1.33 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Dover Athletic?

Maidstone United 1-0 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 56%, draw 26%, Dover Athletic 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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