Stockton Town 4-1 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.13/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.03
+40% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hebburn Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2025 Hebburn Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockton Town İNGNLP
26.12.2024 Stockton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Hebburn Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town ran out comfortable winners over Hebburn Town 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Stockton Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hebburn Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stockton Town and 1.50 for Hebburn Town.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town?

Stockton Town 4-1 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 40%, draw 24%, Hebburn Town 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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