Guiseley 3-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.67/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.32
+16% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Guiseley Guiseley 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
26.12.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 HT 0-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
22.08.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 HT 3-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley squeezed past Gainsborough Trinity 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Guiseley made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guiseley and 1.50 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Guiseley 3-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 33%, draw 29%, Gainsborough Trinity 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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