Lancaster City 1-3 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Dec 2025

📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.71
-22% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
21.04.2025 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-4 HT 0-3 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
26.12.2024 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-3 HT 1-2 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
01.04.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 2-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
26.12.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge saw off Lancaster City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Bamber Bridge made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lancaster City and 2.17 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Lancaster City 1-3 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 38%, draw 31%, Bamber Bridge 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lancaster City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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