Cercle Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Dec 2025

Cercle Brugge
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise
📅26/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.0
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.66
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
9%
7.39
X/2
17%
4.69
X/X
17%
4.58
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.82
2/X
5%
13.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Cercle Brugge v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cercle Brugge The Market 30%
Signal
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise The Market 51%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
1.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
259 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
190 Passes 301
60% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
08.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
27.10.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-3 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.05.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
07.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-3 HT 1-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
03.12.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 2-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1 - 1
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.82 xG 2.40
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
164 Passes 371
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cercle Brugge and Union Saint-Gilloise couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

A gentle 49% lean on Union Saint-Gilloise didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Cercle Brugge had 35% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 65%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.82 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.50 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Result & Final Score

Cercle Brugge 1 - 1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 23%, draw 28%, Union Saint-Gilloise 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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