Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Fateh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 1-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 1-1
Al Fateh
SUUD
Al Fateh 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Fateh squeezed past Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahli Jeddah at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Al Fateh had 43% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 57%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.63 to 1.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ahli Jeddah.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Fateh and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Fateh 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 26/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 21%, draw 23%, Al Ahli Jeddah 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) went the other way.