AFC Totton 1-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over Pick
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
50%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+13.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough The Market 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.33/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.83
+31% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.09.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton and Gosport Borough shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 19% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough?

AFC Totton 1-1 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 42%, draw 19%, Gosport Borough 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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