Hitchin Town 0-1 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.43/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.65
-20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town FAK
26.09.2023 Kettering Town Kettering Town 0-4 HT 0-1 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past Hitchin Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hitchin Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hitchin Town and 0.50 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town?

Hitchin Town 0-1 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hitchin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 42%, draw 26%, Kettering Town 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hitchin Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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