St Ives Town 3-2 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.99/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
+33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Needham Market
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 6-1 HT 3-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
19.11.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 4-2 HT 2-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
22.02.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Needham Market Needham Market 1-1 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town squeezed past Needham Market 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Needham Market at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Needham Market led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for St Ives Town and 2.60 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Needham Market?

St Ives Town 3-2 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated an Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 29%, draw 29%, Needham Market 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
27 Jan 2024
18:00 Folkestone Invicta vs Carshalton Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Bamber Bridge vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs Sholing Analysis →
18:00 Tiverton Town vs Poole Town Analysis →
18:00 Basford United vs Rylands Analysis →
18:00 Mickleover Sports vs Barwell Analysis →