Gueugnon 0-1 Vallieres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gueugnon win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.9pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.5pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gueugnon The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Vallieres The Market 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gueugnon vs Vallieres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vallieres squeezed past Gueugnon 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gueugnon at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Gueugnon vs Vallieres?

Gueugnon 0-1 Vallieres in the France - National League 3 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gueugnon vs Vallieres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gueugnon win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gueugnon 63%, draw 17%, Vallieres 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gueugnon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gueugnon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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