27/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Selongey vs La Chapelle Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
37%
22%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Selongey v La Chapelle — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Selongey
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Chapelle
The Market 40%
-49% /
-49%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
1.00/3.44
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-17%
/
-62%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
313 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
348 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Selongey vs La Chapelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Selongey and La Chapelle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Selongey vs La Chapelle?
Selongey 2-2 La Chapelle in the France - National League 3 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Selongey vs La Chapelle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Selongey win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Selongey 41%, draw 22%, La Chapelle 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Selongey) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Selongey)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
27 Jan 2024