Calor de San Pedro 4-2 Mexicali FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
49%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calor de San Pedro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mexicali FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Calor de San Pedro vs Mexicali FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Calor de San Pedro beat Mexicali FC 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mexicali FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Calor de San Pedro vs Mexicali FC?

Calor de San Pedro 4-2 Mexicali FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calor de San Pedro vs Mexicali FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mexicali FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Calor de San Pedro 24%, draw 27%, Mexicali FC 48%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mexicali FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mexicali FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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