27/01/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Cruz Azul U23 vs Mazatlan U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
21%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul U23 v Mazatlan U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cruz Azul U23
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mazatlan U23
EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
443 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cruz Azul U23 vs Mazatlan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cruz Azul U23 cruised past Mazatlan U23 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul U23 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul U23 vs Mazatlan U23?
Cruz Azul U23 3-0 Mazatlan U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul U23 vs Mazatlan U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul U23 50%, draw 21%, Mazatlan U23 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul U23)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
27 Jan 2024