Petroleros de Salamanca 1-0 Lobos ULMX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petroleros de Salamanca EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos ULMX EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petroleros de Salamanca
1-0
AWAY Lobos ULMX
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Petroleros de Salamanca vs Lobos ULMX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petroleros de Salamanca nicked a narrow win over Lobos ULMX 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Petroleros de Salamanca as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Petroleros de Salamanca had 69% of the ball to Lobos ULMX's 31%, shots finished 16-1.

What was the final score of Petroleros de Salamanca vs Lobos ULMX?

Petroleros de Salamanca 1-0 Lobos ULMX in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petroleros de Salamanca vs Lobos ULMX?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petroleros de Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Petroleros de Salamanca 41%, draw 25%, Lobos ULMX 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petroleros de Salamanca), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petroleros de Salamanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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