27/01/2024
·
04:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Cimarrones de Sonora II vs Durango Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
28%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cimarrones de Sonora II v Durango — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cimarrones de Sonora II
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Durango
EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
308 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Cimarrones de Sonora II vs Durango
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cimarrones de Sonora II and Durango played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Cimarrones de Sonora II vs Durango?
Cimarrones de Sonora II 0-0 Durango in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cimarrones de Sonora II vs Durango?
Before kick-off our model rated an Durango win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cimarrones de Sonora II 34%, draw 28%, Durango 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Durango) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Durango)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
27 Jan 2024