Crotone 0-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.71
Over Pick
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.68
2-3
39%
1.71
4-5
25%
3.9
6+
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno The Market 26%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
1.38/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.99
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Picerno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Picerno Picerno 5-2 HT 4-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
07.05.2024 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
15.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
08.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 2-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
04.03.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
30.10.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
0-0
AWAY Picerno
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone and Picerno played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crotone had 43% of the ball to Picerno's 57%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crotone and 1.50 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Picerno?

Crotone 0-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crotone 44%, draw 25%, Picerno 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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