Picerno 2-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.54
Over
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.34
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
24%
5.16
6+
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone The Market 39%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Crotone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
08.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 2-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
04.03.2023 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
30.10.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-0
AWAY Crotone
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno saw off Crotone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Picerno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Picerno had 48% of the ball to Crotone's 52%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Crotone?

Picerno 2-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Picerno 37%, draw 27%, Crotone 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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