Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Jan 2025

Luis Angel Firpo
1-0 HT 0-0
Dragon
📅27/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luis Angel Firpo v Dragon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.71/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
+5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dragon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.10.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
25.03.2024 Dragon Dragon 1-4 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
15.01.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
06.11.2023 Dragon Dragon 3-3 HT 3-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-3 HT 2-2 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
21.05.2023 Dragon Dragon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Dragon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.50 for Dragon.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 49%, draw 30%, Dragon 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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