Nassaji Mazandaran 1-2 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.63
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.28
Over 2.5
29%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.53
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
15%
8.43
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
35%
-5.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
75%
-3.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
25%
+3.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.4pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.56/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
-44% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
22.08.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
17.03.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
09.02.2024 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
17.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.04.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANK
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Nassaji Mazandaran 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Aluminium Arak made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak?

Nassaji Mazandaran 1-2 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 37%, draw 29%, Aluminium Arak 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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