San Carlos 1-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 27 Jan 2025

📅27/01/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
60%
1.88
No
40%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.8pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.1pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.41
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Guanacasteca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 2-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
20.07.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-3 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
18.04.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
11.02.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
09.10.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
06.08.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos and Guanacasteca shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was San Carlos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Carlos and 0.67 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Guanacasteca?

San Carlos 1-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 41%, draw 35%, Guanacasteca 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Carlos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
27 Jan 2025
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