Maidstone United 3-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 27 Jan 2026

📅27/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.92
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 36% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.52/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.86
+5% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +66%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
12.10.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-0 HT 2-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
25.01.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
23.11.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-3 HT 2-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
17.11.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.03.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
3-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United swept aside Ebbsfleet United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Maidstone United had 36% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 64%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maidstone United and 0.83 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidstone United 3-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 27/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 42%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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