Maidstone United 3-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.50
+15% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -39%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2022 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
23.11.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-3 HT 2-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
17.11.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.03.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
30.10.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
09.01.2018 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-2 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
3-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United cruised past Ebbsfleet United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 47% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 53%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maidstone United and 1.17 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Maidstone United 3-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 44%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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